What Management Said
Read the full Q4 2025 transcript ↗For the first time in our company's history, annual revenues exceeded $1 billion, reaching $1.08 billion in adjusted 2025 revenues, which represented 14% growth from the prior year. This achievement underscores the strength of our commercial execution and positions us for sustained growth in the coming years. As a result, we delivered adjusted NUPLAZID net sales of $189 million in the fourth quarter and $692 million for the full year. These results were up 17% and 15%, respectively, and in terms of volume, represented 13% in the fourth quarter and 9% for the full year.
Together, demonstrating the continued strength of NUPLAZID and further reinforcing our confidence in its long-term growth trajectory. Turning to DAYBUE, we delivered net product sales of $110 million in the fourth quarter and $391 million for 2025, representing 13% and 12%, respectively, year-over-year sales growth. This growth was driven primarily by our expanded reach into the community physician setting in the U.S. Due to the current status of our application within the EMA, this 2026 guidance does not include potential commercial sales that would result from this regulatory approval.
Just for perspective, of our projected $700 million in 2028 sales, the EU sales represent less than 15% of the total, meaning we have ample opportunity for growth ahead under any scenario. Turning to our robust R&D pipeline, we are excited for the phase II readout of remlifanserin in the August through October 2026 timeframe, as this presents a key event for our company this year. Importantly, as Catherine mentioned, underlying quarterly volume growth remained exceptionally strong at 13%, accelerating the momentum we've built throughout the year. For the full year, volume increased 9%, reflecting sustained and durable demand for NUPLAZID.
- Fourth-quarter adjusted total revenue was $298 million, up 16% year over year, and 2025 became the first year in company history with revenue above $1 billion, reaching $1.08 billion on an adjusted basis (up 14%).
- NUPLAZID adjusted net sales were $189 million in Q4 (up 17%, 13% volume) and $692 million for the full year (up 15%), keeping the brand on track toward blockbuster (~$1 billion) net sales by 2028.
- DAYBUE delivered $110 million in Q4 (up 13%) and $391 million for the year (up 12%), with 1,070 patients receiving shipments globally — record highs both in and outside the U.S. — and community physicians driving 76% of new prescriptions.
- The FDA approved DAYBUE STIX, a powder-for-oral-solution formulation, in December, opening an incremental opportunity of more than 400 patients (treatment-naive and prior discontinuers) ahead of a broad launch in early Q2 2026.
- The company released the valuation allowance on its deferred tax assets, producing a one-time non-cash income tax benefit of approximately $250 million, and ended 2025 with $820 million in cash.
- Management framed a transformational pipeline — four molecules with roughly $11 billion in combined peak sales potential, including ~$4 billion for remlifanserin (ACP-204) across Alzheimer's disease psychosis and Lewy body dementia psychosis — with the ADP Phase II readout due August-October 2026.
- The CHMP issued a negative trend vote on the trofinetide EU marketing application, and management expects a negative final opinion; it intends to pursue reexamination (~120 days), pushing any EU decision out and excluding EU commercial sales from 2026 guidance.
- Higher-than-anticipated CMS Inflation Reduction Act inflation-cap rebate invoices for NUPLAZID forced a non-recurring change in estimate that reduced GAAP net sales by about $20 million (GAAP Q4 NUPLAZID $174M vs $189M adjusted).
- SG&A rose to $156 million in Q4 (from $130 million) on NUPLAZID marketing and DAYBUE field expansion, and 2026 SG&A guidance of $660-$700 million implies a sizable step-up in foundational spend that pressures near-term operating income.
- The IRA rebate true-up required a $108 million cash payment for the first two program years (about $30 million net cash outflow over the year).
Guidance Changes
| Metric | Period | Current guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | FY2026 | $1.22B-$1.28B |
| NUPLAZID net sales | FY2026 | $760M-$790M (10%-14% growth); gross-to-net 22%-24% |
| DAYBUE net sales | FY2026 | $460M-$490M (18%-25% growth), excludes EU commercial sales; gross-to-net 22%-24% |
| R&D expense | FY2026 | $385M-$410M |
| SG&A expense | FY2026 | $660M-$700M |
| NUPLAZID long-term | 2028 | ~$1 billion in annual net sales |
| DAYBUE long-term | 2028 | ~$700 million in global net sales (EU less than 15%) |
Performance Breakdown
| Metric | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted total revenue | +16% (Q4); +14% FY to $1.08B | First year above $1 billion; strength across both brands. |
| NUPLAZID adjusted net sales | +17% Q4 (13% volume); +15% FY to $692M | Durable demand; new prescriptions +18% YoY in Q4; 40% of FY2025 prescribers new to brand. |
| DAYBUE net sales | +13% Q4 to $110M; +12% FY to $391M | Community expansion (76% of new Rx) and ex-U.S. named patient supply; ~6,000 diagnosed Rett patients in the U.S. |
| R&D expense | $85M Q4 vs $101M | Prior-year quarter included a $28 million ACP-711 upfront payment. |
| SG&A expense | $156M Q4 vs $130M | Increased NUPLAZID marketing and DAYBUE field expansion/marketing. |
| Cash and investments | $820M at year-end 2025 | Operating cash generation net of the IRA rebate payment. |
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
| Topic | Previous mention | Current period | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trofinetide EU regulatory path | CHMP oral explanation given | Negative trend vote received; management expects a negative final opinion and will request reexamination (~120 days), targeting a new CHMP opinion around end of Q2 2026; named patient supply programs remain active. | — |
| DAYBUE STIX launch | FDA approval in December 2025 | Powder-for-oral-solution formulation with no refrigeration, flexible dosing and no red dye; incremental >400-patient opportunity, initial patients in channel, broad launch early Q2 2026. | — |
| Remlifanserin (ACP-204) as value driver | Program initiated across ADP and LBDP | ~$4 billion of the ~$11 billion four-molecule peak potential; ADP Phase II readout August-October 2026 using an operationally seamless Phase II/III master protocol. | — |
| IRA / gross-to-net | Accruing inflation-cap rebates since Q4 2022 | CMS invoices showed higher Medicare volume than accrued, driving a $20M non-recurring GAAP reduction; 2026 NUPLAZID gross-to-net guided to 22%-24%. | — |
Q&A Summary
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