What Management Said
Read the full Q4 2025 transcript ↗AMG generated full-year economic earnings per share of $26.05, an increase of 22% year-over-year, driven by our strong organic growth and the positive impact of our capital allocation strategy. Our affiliates generated approximately $29 billion in annual net client cash flows, the highest level since 2013, and representing an organic growth rate of 4%. Throughout 2025, across both organic growth and new affiliate investments, AMG added approximately $97 billion in alternative assets under management, representing an increase of 35% in our total alternative AUM. This increase includes $74 billion in net inflows generated by existing affiliates managing alternative strategies, and $23 billion in additional alternative AUM from partnerships with new affiliates.
As we have seen in recent years, our growing footprint in alternatives has fueled significant organic growth and accelerated earnings. With more than $1 billion in capital committed across five new investments, we deployed near-record levels of capital and growth opportunities in 2025. In addition, we continued to invest our capital and resources in and alongside our affiliates, collaborating with our partner firms to develop new products for the U.S. Our unique investment model continues to attract outstanding independent firms seeking a strategic partner, and our new investment pipeline remains strong.
Garda's outstanding multi-decade track record of performance and its leading position in the fast-growing area within liquid alternatives underpin our strong conviction in the firm's long-term prospects. Both investments are consistent with our strategy and are expected to be accretive to our earnings in 2026. Across these three transactions, AMG received more than $730 million in pre-tax distributions and sale proceeds, more than 2.5x our invested capital, and with an average IRR of more than 35%. The significant proceeds from these liquidity events highlights the underlying value of our affiliates and enhances our flexibility to execute our growth strategy.
- Record full-year 2025 economic earnings per share of $26.05, up 22% year-over-year
- Approximately $29 billion in annual net client cash flows, the highest level since 2013 (4% organic growth)
- Record year for alternatives flows, with $74 billion of net inflows from existing alternative-strategy affiliates
- Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $378 million grew 34% year-over-year; Q4 economic EPS of $9.48 grew 45%
- Repurchased about $700 million of shares in 2025 (roughly 11% of shares outstanding), including a record $350 million in Q4
- More than $1 billion committed across five new affiliate investments; global wealth AUM surpassed $100 billion, growing organically over 100%
- Active equities saw net outflows of roughly $45 billion for the full year and $12 billion in Q4, reflecting industry headwinds
- Multi-asset and fixed income flows were flat for both the quarter and the full year
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $310-$330 million is sequentially lower than Q4's $378 million, partly on lower expected performance fees ($40-$60 million vs $125 million in Q4)
- Departure of President and COO (former CFO) Tom Wojcik after seven years introduces a senior leadership transition
- Full-year Adjusted EBITDA growth of 11% lagged the stronger Q4 pace, held back by long-only equity outflows
Guidance Changes
| Metric | Period | Current guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA | Q1 2026 | $310M-$330M |
| Net performance fee earnings | Q1 2026 | $40M-$60M |
| Economic earnings per share | Q1 2026 | $7.98-$8.52 |
| Fee-related earnings | Q1 2026 | ~$270M (30% growth vs Q1 2025) |
| Adjusted weighted average share count | Q1 2026 | 27.4M |
| Net performance fee earnings | Full-year 2026 | ~$170M (in line with 5-year average) |
| Share repurchases | Full-year 2026 | at least $400M |
| AQR contribution to earnings | Full-year 2026 | more than 20% |
Performance Breakdown
| Metric | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Full-year economic EPS | +22% | Strong organic growth plus the impact of share repurchases and capital allocation |
| Q4 economic EPS | +45% | EBITDA growth and reduced share count from repurchases |
| Q4 Adjusted EBITDA | +34% | Investment performance, organic growth, and $125M of net performance fees |
| Full-year Adjusted EBITDA | +11% | Growth in alternatives partly offset by active equity outflows |
| Q4 fee-related earnings | +20% | Positive investment performance, organic growth, and margin expansion at largest affiliates |
| Full-year fee-related earnings | +8% | Shift toward higher-fee alternative strategies and organic growth |
| Total alternative AUM | +35% | $74B of existing-affiliate net inflows plus $23B from new affiliate partnerships |
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
| Topic | Previous mention | Current period | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business mix shift to alternatives | Alternatives roughly one-third of EBITDA six years ago | Alternatives ~60% of EBITDA on a run-rate basis; alt AUM now $373B | — |
| Organic growth | Prior years of net outflows / weaker flow profile | Returned to organic growth; $29B net inflows, strongest since 2013 | — |
| U.S. wealth platform | Focused primarily on long-only mutual funds | ~$8B alternatives AUM and five continuously offered alternative solutions; $2.2B alt net new flows in 2025 | — |
| AQR and Pantheon | Double-digit earnings contributors in 2025 | Growing contribution expected in 2026, with AQR likely above 20% of earnings | — |
| New affiliate investments | Northbridge, Verition, Montefiore, Qualitas Energy, BBH collaboration in 2025 | New partnership with HighBrook and follow-on investment in Garda, adding ~$20M to full-year Adjusted EBITDA | — |
| Balance sheet simplification | 2037 junior convertible trust preferred securities outstanding | Issued $425M 10-year 5.5% note; redeemed the trust preferred, removing share dilution ($174M conversion premium ~600K shares at $293) | — |
Q&A Summary
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