The call in brief
Read the Q2 2026 earnings summary ↗MSCI's Q2 2026 was a strong quarter financially (12%+ organic revenue growth, ~19% adjusted EPS growth) driven by record asset-based fees ($948M run rate, +25%) and standout momentum with hedge funds/traders and private assets, punctuated by a new UBS wealth-channel partnership and the announced First Street climate acquisition. Subscription net new sales came in a touch below expectations, which management framed as lumpiness from newly launched high-value products rather than a demand problem, pointing to a strong second-half pipeline. The clear soft spots were sustainability (ongoing cancels in the Americas, guided to roughly flat-to-negative net new sales for two quarters), softer analytics sales and margin, and continued ABF fee-rate compression from mix shift. Management raised expense guidance voluntarily to invest behind momentum while emphasizing prudent financial management.
- Organic revenue grew over 12% with adjusted EPS up nearly 19% and adjusted EBITDA up 14%; total run rate grew 12%
- Asset-based fee run rate reached $948 million (up 25%) on record ETF and non-ETF AUM, with ~$40 billion of ETF inflows in the quarter and more than $1 trillion of ETF AUM growth over the trailing 15 months
- Best quarter on record with hedge funds: 19% subscription run rate growth and nearly $15 million of recurring net new sales (up 75%), including three seven-figure index-analytics deals; index recurring net new sales up 41% and total index run rate up 17%
- Private assets recurring net new sales grew 57%, PCS subscription run rate accelerated to over 16%, and MSCI announced a strategic UBS partnership to extend private-asset solutions into the wealth channel
- Asset owners posted best-ever Q2 recurring net new sales of $8.4 million (up 43%); index retention rate exceeded 97%
- Subscription sales fell a little short of expectations (Manav Patnaik of Barclays flagged the quarter's shortfall); management attributed softness to lumpiness and warned high-ticket new products will create more quarter-to-quarter variability
- Sustainability remains under persistent pressure with cancels (particularly in the Americas) a significant headwind; management guided combined sustainability & climate recurring net new sales to roughly zero to slightly negative over the next two quarters
- Asset-based fee basis points compressed meaningfully as AUM/inflows skewed toward lower-fee developed-markets-ex-US and all-country products (mix shift), plus lower BlackRock floors from Q1
- Analytics subscription sales were soft (7% organic subscription run rate growth) and analytics margin came in softer than expected; management called it largely lumpiness/tough comps
- Expense guidance was raised (First Street acquisition, higher performance stock comp/bonus accruals tied to AUM, higher D&A and interest expense from the acquisition and buybacks)
Management Commentary
Read the Q2 2026 summary ↗Thank you. Good day, and welcome to the MSCI second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Earlier this morning, we issued a press release announcing our results for the second quarter of 2026. This press release, along with an earnings presentation, are available on our website, msci.com, under the Investor Relations tab. Let me remind you that this call contains forward-looking statements that are governed by the language on the second slide of the presentation. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements that speak only as of the date on which they are made, are based on current expectations and current economic conditions, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from the results anticipated in these forward-looking statements.
For a discussion of additional risks and uncertainties, please see the Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statements disclaimer in our most recent Form 10-K and in our other SEC filings. During today's call, in addition to results presented on the basis of U.S. GAAP, we also refer to non-GAAP measures. You'll find a reconciliation of our non-GAAP measures to the equivalent GAAP measures in the appendix of the earnings presentation. We will also discuss operating metrics such as run rate and retention rate. Important information regarding our use of operating metrics such as run rate and retention rate are available in the earnings presentation. On the call today are Henry Fernandez, our Chairman and CEO, and Andy Wiechmann, our Chief Financial Officer.
With that, let me now turn the call over to Henry Fernandez. Henry?
Thank you, Jeremy. Good day, everyone, and thank you all for joining us. In the second quarter, MSCI delivered very strong financial results along with an acceleration in run rate growth in both index and private assets, our two key engines of growth in the company. We also showed strength in recurring net new sales across client segments and geographies despite continued challenges in sustainability. Meanwhile, record ETF and non-ETF AUM balances in products linked to MSCI indices help us achieve our best ever asset-based fee run rate. MSCI is building momentum in the second half of 2026 with a strong pipeline of opportunities and exciting AI-fueled innovation. AI is enabling MSCI to move even faster in building new products, enhancing our existing solutions, and strengthening our foundational mission-critical role in global investing and the rapidly growing ecosystem around our solutions.
MSCI's Q2 financial metrics included organic revenue growth of over 12%, adjusted EPS growth of nearly 19%, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 14%. We further demonstrated our commitment to driving attractive shareholder returns and our confidence in MSCI by repurchasing $147 million of MSCI shares at an average price of about $558 per share during the quarter and through yesterday. Our Q2 operating metrics included total run rate growth of 12%, fueled by ABF run rate of $948 million, growing 25%. This reflected record AUM levels in both ETF and non-ETF products linked to MSCI indices, supported by another quarter of solid inflows of nearly $40 billion in ETF linked to MSCI indices. Over the past 15 months, total ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices has grown by more than $1 trillion.
The incredible scale of MSCI's ABF franchise and the recent volumes of inflows into products linked to MSCI indices is the ultimate endorsement of trust in our IP, research, and standards. Turning back to our Q2 performance, MSCI achieved organic subscription run rate growth of over 8% with a retention rate of over 95%. This growth is enabled by our success in scaling our footprint across key client segments. Among traders and hedge funds, a category that collectively includes market makers, hedge funds, broker-dealers, and exchanges, MSCI deliver subscription run rate growth of 15%. Among hedge funds specifically, we posted our best quarter on record with 19% subscription run rate growth and nearly $15 million in recurring net new sales for a growth of 75%, including three separate seven-figure deals in index analytics.
For example, MSCI won a seven-figure index deal with one of the world's largest multi-strategy hedge funds covering our ETF-linked and non-ETF-linked custom index modules, along with our constituent AUM packages. All told, we more than triple our index recurring net new sales with hedge funds from a year earlier, reaching $8.6 million in total. These results highlight four overlapping trends in the segment of traders and hedge funds for us. First, MSCI's indices are becoming increasingly embedded in the core trading and liquidity infrastructure used by active and passive investors alike. Second, the growth of systematic and quantitative investing has contributed to rising demand for our index content. Third, as traders and hedge funds have expanded their role in global investing, MSCI has gained new opportunities to make our index franchise more diversified and resilient.
Fourth, as clients demand faster, more specialized indices and structured products and derivatives in larger volumes, AI is helping us accelerate our index production and deliver customization at scale. Shifting from traders and hedge funds to asset owners, we deliver 9% subscription run rate growth along with our best Q2 on record for recurring net new sales at $8.4 million and growing 43%. For example, one of the world's largest public pension funds signed a major new agreement for MSCI's private capital indices and expanded access to our Private Capital Intel solution. We also completed a seven-figure deal with a large sovereign wealth fund for our total portfolio solution, which includes private assets and analytics. Among asset managers, we posted 6% organic subscription run rate growth, along with 9% recurring net new sales growth.
This includes a large deal with one of the world's largest asset managers for our enterprise risk and performance tools to support their ongoing initiatives to incorporate factors and enhance their risk reporting across asset classes. In addition, we continue making a steady progress with our ETF and other tradable product solutions for active managers. During the quarter, we signed a handful of clients to support their launch of active ETF strategies leveraging MSCI's index universe, research, and IP. Overall, some of the biggest themes of Q2 included the rapidly expanding ecosystem around MSCI indices, our momentum in private assets, and our rapid pace of innovation as enabled by our AI transformation and laser-targeted acquisitions to unlock additional layers of growth.
Turning more specifically to our product lines, in index, we deliver 41% growth in recurring net new sales, 17% growth in total run rate, more than 11% growth in subscription run rate, and a retention rate of more than 97%. In private assets, MSCI achieved 57% recurring net new sales growth With more and more pension funds and sovereign wealth funds embracing our total portfolio solutions. Earlier this month, we announced a new strategic partnership with UBS that will extend the reach of our private asset solutions and enable wealth managers to better connect high-net-worth clients with GP opportunities while promoting greater transparency for the entire investment ecosystem. By combining MSCI's independent data, analytics, models, and AI-powered platforms with UBS's global client insights and expertise in alternative investments, we can help make private markets more understandable, more accessible, and enable stronger connectivities between GPs and the wealth channel.
This private asset platform for wealth channels is only one example of how we are using AI to improve our solutions and the client experience. We already have over 1,000 clients using Index AI Insights, which we just launched in February. Meanwhile, hundreds of companies and end users are now accessing our Total Plan Manager and Private Capital Intel solutions through their preferred AI models. Innovation remains the lifeblood of MSCI's product development, but we're also expanding our capability through highly strategic acquisitions. Last month, for example, we announced that MSCI would acquire First Street, a leading provider of physics-based climate risk data and analytics, enabling physical risk assessment across over 2 billion building infrastructures. Combining our respective tools will help us deliver the insights clients need as physical risk becomes a more immediate priority.
We're also addressing the broader category of emerging risks, along with issues such as energy access, tariffs, and supply chains, and AI. Much of our product innovation in sustainability and climate is now focused on these emerging risks, which have become increasingly significant to investors. At the same time, MSCI Working Climate is separate and distinct from our work in sustainability as we are seeing the opportunities there. Sustainability faces persisting market challenges, and we do not expect that to change in the near future. Even still, MSCI remains the provider of choice in this industry, and our sustainability tools continue to help us in other business areas, most notably in Index. There are now close to $1.3 trillion in index fund assets benchmarked to MSCI sustainability and climate indices, with over 1/3 of those assets benchmarked to our climate indices.
MSCI also took several other steps to advance our AI transformation. In Q1, we brought into the firm Dinesh Gupta from Goldman Sachs to serve as our new Chief Data Officer and Global Head of Operations. In Q2, we welcome Kashi Kakarla from Intuit as our new Chief Technology Officer and Head of Product Engineering, and we announced that Kashi will lead the creation of a new MSCI office in Silicon Valley focused on AI, product engineering, and technology. Given his background, Kashi is the perfect leader to help us maximize the benefits of AI across client segments, product lines, and asset classes. We have also established a Technology and Data Committee of our Board of Directors.
Looking ahead, we remain confident in our pipeline, in our resource allocation, and in our ability to leverage AI. MSCI plays a key role in virtually every stage of the global investment process, we are well positioned to seize new opportunities for growth.
With that, let me turn things over to Andy.
Thank you, Henry, hi, everyone. We're excited to see the large pipeline and strong momentum in key growth areas across the business, with further accelerations in our Index and Private Assets Segments. As Henry mentioned, we have had several large client wins that reaffirm the growing ecosystem around our frameworks and solutions. Index subscription run rate growth accelerated to over 11%, driven by a strong quarter for recurring net new subscription sales of over $28 million, which was up nearly 41% year-over-year. This reflected some large deals with traders and hedge funds across numerous modules, including our custom index modules. These help power the custom index organic subscription run rate growth to 23%, excluding contributions from the Compass acquisition. The retention rate among hedge funds within our index product line was in line with the overall index retention rate at more than 97%.
Additionally, we saw another quarter of very strong growth in Asset-Based Fees, with the ABF run rate reaching nearly $950 million and growing 25% year-over-year. This growth was fueled by close to $40 billion of cash inflows in the quarter, driving AUM and ETFs linked to our indexes up to more than $2.8 trillion. The asset growth and cash inflows predominantly occurred in clients' products linked to our developed markets ex-U.S., and all country indexes, some of which carry lower fees. Within analytics, we had organic subscription run rate growth of 7%, driven by demand for our factor content and factor solutions, where we continue to innovate rapidly. We are also seeing steadily growing demand for our multi-asset class total portfolio solutions, including for front office use cases. Analytics Organic Revenue Growth was 7%, tracking with run rate growth.
In private capital solutions, subscription run rate growth accelerated to over 16%. During the quarter, we had solid traction across existing solutions like our transparency, Private Capital Intel, and total plan offerings. We also see growing demand with new offerings like our data platform and our asset and deal level metrics. The acceleration is supported by both our deep private asset insights and our strong multi-asset class total portfolio capabilities. Additionally, we're seeing success with Vantager, having already closed a few sales of our diligence solutions offering. In real assets, organic subscription run rate growth accelerated modestly as we benefited from recent product and service enhancements, and we won a large deal to be the exclusive provider to a large property technology firm that will leverage RCA content and our global index intel offering delivered through Snowflake.
In the sustainability and climate reportable segment, we drove nearly $6 million of new recurring sales in sustainability in Q2, and over $3 million of new recurring sales in climate. Cancels, particularly in the Americas, were a significant headwind as clients are rightsizing their sustainability spend. As Henry mentioned, we are capturing share gains in a consolidating market and are strongly positioned from a competitive standpoint based on our trusted reputation for quality, depth, and breadth of coverage, as well as the broad suite of interoperable solutions that we offer. Meanwhile, in climate, run rate growth across MSCI product lines was nearly 12%, and we are seeing significant demand for physical risk solutions, which are increasingly woven into the investment process. In the quarter, we won several physical risk deals, including a large deal for our geospatial and asset location solution with a European bank.
MSCI's announced acquisition of First Street, a company which has developed truly unique climate forecasting models, enables us to capture the increasing demand for physical risk and broader climate solutions across a wider range of client segments and use cases. Upon the close of the acquisition in Q3, we would expect First Street to add about $10 million of subscription run rate to the S&C reporting segment. Between the significant emerging opportunities and the pressure on parts of the sustainability franchise, we expect recurring net new sales to be roughly zero to slightly negative for the combined sustainability and climate reporting segment across the next two quarters. As always, we remain intensely focused on driving strong capital returns to shareholders, and we will continue driving value creation through capital allocation as we have done year to date between our disciplined repurchases and acquisitions.
On expense guidance, we've seen strong AUM growth within investment products linked to MSCI indexes. These AUM levels have been higher than the assumption we noted last quarter. When we released earnings in April, we indicated that we would be towards the high end of the expense guidance ranges based on the assumption of relatively flat markets in Q2. Given the strong top-line momentum and very attractive opportunities, we've been investing in key growth areas. Additionally, there are a few notable factors driving the increased expense guidance range. Firstly, the impact of the recent acquisitions, with the largest impact expected from First Street. Secondly, performance stock-based comp and bonus accruals related to the significant increase in AUM and products linked to MSCI indexes.
The adjustment to the D&A guidance is driven by the First Street acquisition, the increase in the interest expense is driven by the higher revolver balances related to the First Street acquisition and recent share repurchases. Importantly, we have the levers to flex investments up and expenses down based on the environment and business performance, which allows us to consistently deliver strong results. We remain well positioned and committed to delivering attractive profitability growth in all environments while investing for the long term. Overall, I'm incredibly excited by our growing momentum and the strong pipeline across the business. We're only just starting to see the benefits of the new and enhanced solutions that we've recently introduced and which are adding to our momentum. We look forward to keeping you posted on our progress.
With that, operator, please open the line for questions.
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