What Management Said
Read the full Q2 2025 transcript ↗For the first half of 2025, Nexstar Media Group generated adjusted EBITDA of $770 million and adjusted free cash flow of nearly $450 million. We returned $238 million, or 53% of adjusted free cash flow, to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, reducing our shares outstanding by about 1% while also allocating $132 million to debt repayment. We began in 2019 by converting WGN America, the entertainment network we acquired in the Tribune acquisition, into NewsNation. In June, NewsNation was ranked the number one basic cable network for year-over-year growth with overall viewership increasing by nearly 50% and by 67% in the adults age 25-54 demographic according to Nielsen.
At The CW, we've now achieved five consecutive quarters of audience growth and The CW was the number 8 ranked network in total audience growth for the first half of 2025. Turning to regulatory reform, there have been significant positive developments since our last earnings call. In summary, the continued success and consistency of Nexstar Media Group's financial performance reflects our stable, diversified revenue base, disciplined operations, and continued execution across our portfolio. With our unmatched scale, robust free cash flow, and consistent track record of delivering value, we remain well positioned to seize the significant opportunities that lie ahead.
Nexstar Media Group delivered second quarter net revenue of $1.23 billion, a decline of 3.2% compared to the prior year, primarily reflecting the year-over-year reduction in political advertising. Although the industry continues to see subscriber attrition, we note recent earnings reports from our distribution partners suggest marginal improvements in subscriber trends. Advertising revenue of $475 million decreased $47 million or 9% over the comparable prior year quarter, primarily reflecting a $36 million year-over-year decrease in political advertising. We saw growth in key categories including attorneys and home repair, along with improved performance from some of our national digital businesses, including Best Reviews.
- Second quarter results benefited from better than expected advertising revenue, stable distribution revenue and strong expense management, with net revenue of $1.23 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $389 million at a 31.7% margin.
- Adjusted free cash flow rose to $101 million from $77 million a year earlier, and for the first half Nexstar generated $770 million of adjusted EBITDA and nearly $450 million of adjusted free cash flow.
- The CW's profitability improved $21 million year over year on lower broadcast rights amortization and reduced operating expenses, achieving its fifth consecutive quarter of audience growth and ranking as the 8th most-watched network for the first half.
- NewsNation was ranked the number one basic cable network for year-over-year growth in June, with overall viewership up nearly 50% and up 67% in the adults 25 to 54 demographic.
- The company returned $238 million, or 53% of adjusted free cash flow, to shareholders in the first half through buybacks and dividends while allocating $132 million to debt repayment, and refinanced its credit facilities to extend maturities.
- Significant regulatory progress occurred as the FCC moved to refresh the record on the national ownership cap and the 8th Circuit vacated the top-four ownership rule as arbitrary and capricious.
- Second quarter net revenue declined 3.2% to $1.23 billion, primarily reflecting a $36 million year-over-year reduction in political advertising to about $9 million.
- Non-political advertising declined 2.5% year over year, hurt by a high single-digit decline in goods-based advertising, more than half of which was attributable to the automotive category.
- Adjusted EBITDA decreased $25 million from $414 million a year earlier, and income from the 31% TV Food Network stake declined $5 million on lower revenue.
- The company had yet to see a definitive turnaround in video subscriber trends, continuing to experience MVPD subscriber attrition despite early signs of improvement.
Guidance Changes
| Metric | Period | Current guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Non-political advertising | Q3 2025 | Down in the low single digits year over year (new; despite the 2024 Olympics comp and benefiting in part from the absence of political crowd-out) |
| The CW losses | FY2025 | Improve profitability about 25% in 2025, achieve profitability sometime in 2026 (reiterated) |
| CapEx | Q3 2025 | $25 million to $30 million (new) |
| Interest expense | Q3 2025 | About $93 million (new) |
| Cash taxes | Q3 2025 | $35 million to $40 million (new) |
Performance Breakdown
| Metric | YoY | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Net revenue | -3.2% to $1.23 billion | year-over-year reduction in political advertising |
| Distribution revenue | Essentially flat at $733 million | contractual rate escalators, vMVPD growth and CW affiliations offset by MVPD subscriber attrition and fewer 2024 renewals |
| Advertising revenue | -9% to $475 million | $36 million decline in political advertising; non-political down 2.5% on weak goods-based and auto categories |
| Adjusted EBITDA | -$25 million to $389 million (31.7% margin) | lower political advertising, partly offset by expense discipline |
| Adjusted free cash flow | +$24 million to $101 million | lower CapEx, lower interest expense and lower cash taxes versus the prior-year quarter |
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
| Topic | Previous mention | Current period | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory reform | Awaiting FCC action on ownership rules | FCC refreshed the record on the national ownership cap (possible change by year-end) and the 8th Circuit vacated the top-four rule, opening the door to deregulation | — |
| The CW path to profitability | Profitability targeted in 2026 | $21 million YoY profit improvement in Q2, five consecutive quarters of audience growth, on track for ~25% loss improvement in 2025 and profitability in 2026 | — |
| M&A posture | — | Sook said everybody is talking to everybody; growing national footprint is more strategic than doubling up in markets, and Nexstar would raise leverage slightly for the right accretive deal | — |
| Video subscriber trends | Ongoing attrition | Encouraging early signs of improvement, with good recent reports from two of the largest MVPDs and Charter's trending video performance | — |
| Streaming and DTC launches | — | Fox One and ESPN's DTC app seen as neutral-to-positive for pay TV given complementary pricing (~$50 combined) and bundling; Nexstar's Fox stations included in Fox One | — |
Q&A Summary
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